Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-8
Ponferradina vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
PON
2 - 0
BEN
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SAL
2 - 1
PON
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
PON
3 - 0
CIU
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
CDU
2 - 0
PON
31%
28%
41%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
PON
5 - 0
BUR
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
BET
2 - 0
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
RSO
1 - 2
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
SPO
2 - 1
UDL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
OSA
3 - 0
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
SPO
0 - 0
VCF
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |