Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Ponferradina vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
PON
33%
31%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
ATH
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
PON
24%
31%
45%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
PON
1 - 1
ULP
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PON
4 - 1
SPB
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
0 - 1
MAL
82%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 0
STU
75%
16%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 1
SEV
22%
26%
52%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
4 - 0
ATH
76%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
RBS
0 - 2
SEV
23%
26%
51%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |