Ponferradina vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
HUE
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
SPO
22%
25%
52%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
UES
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ELC
1 - 0
REC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
REC
3 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CDB
2 - 1
REC
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
REC
3 - 0
SEV
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 9 | 70 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
RAY
4 - 0
REC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |