Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 4-1
Ponferradina vs Real Oviedo Vetusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ARE
0 - 0
PON
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
PON
3 - 1
SDI
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 2
PON
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
PON
2 - 1
LAU
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 2
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo Vetusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ROB
1 - 1
UPL
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
PRA
3 - 4
ROB
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ROB
1 - 1
CAU
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ROB
3 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ENS
1 - 1
ROB
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |