Ponferradina vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
56.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 0
PON
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CDE
1 - 0
PON
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PON
0 - 0
CAD
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 3
PON
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
PXD
0 - 1
PON
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 0
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
RAY
5%
13%
81%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 0
GIR
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 1
RAY
4%
11%
85%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |