Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Ponferradina vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
NOI
2 - 2
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
CAC
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 0
PON
49%
27%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
PON
3 - 2
RAC
67%
22%
12%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CAY
0 - 0
PON
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ENS
1 - 0
RCF
59%
26%
15%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
RCF
1 - 4
UPL
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
VAD
28%
30%
42%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
RMC
7 - 0
RCF
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 2
ALM
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |