Ponferradina vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SDA
3 - 0
PON
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PON
5 - 0
SEG
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
PON
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDG
2 - 1
PON
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
RMA
5 - 1
PON
95%
4%
1%
|
63 | 97 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
SLA
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
CFP
27%
29%
44%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CFP
2 - 0
LEM
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
UDL
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
CFP
46%
28%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |