Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Ponferradina vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
AVI
2 - 2
PON
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
CFP
1 - 2
PON
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
LEG
2 - 1
PON
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
PON
3 - 1
CAB
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
PON
1 - 2
ATB
35%
30%
35%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
HER
1 - 1
CFP
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
CFP
1 - 2
PON
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
CFP
2 - 1
RSO
46%
29%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
CFP
5 - 1
SEG
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
OSA
0 - 2
CFP
48%
27%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |