Ponferradina vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAU
0 - 0
PON
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
SPB
1 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
PON
0 - 0
GER
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 2
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PON
0 - 2
CDO
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
4 - 1
NOJ
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
3 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 1
CDO
23%
30%
47%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
1 - 0
CDO
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 2
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |