Ponferradina vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
PON
1 - 0
PON
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
PON
0 - 0
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
ASP
2 - 1
PON
42%
29%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
PON
1 - 1
LAL
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
ARE
1 - 3
PON
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
CDO
2 - 0
ARO
63%
24%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
PON
0 - 0
CDO
63%
24%
14%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
CDO
0 - 0
RCF
74%
19%
7%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDO
25%
33%
42%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
CDO
2 - 2
AVI
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |