Ponferradina vs Montañeros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
OSA
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 0
PON
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
MIR
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SES
0 - 2
PON
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
CFP
26%
27%
46%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MIR
2 - 2
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
SES
33%
29%
39%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
27%
29%
44%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |