Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-7
Ponferradina vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
SAL
7 - 0
PON
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
PON
1 - 1
SDA
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
LER
2 - 1
PON
11%
23%
66%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
SSR
2 - 0
PON
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
PON
0 - 1
TOM
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 3
SSR
48%
29%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 1
LUG
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
SPB
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
SPB
2 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
AVI
56%
27%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |