Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Ponferradina vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
PON
2 - 0
GIM
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 2
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
PON
5 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
ENS
0 - 0
PON
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
PON
1 - 1
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ATH
2 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
LUG
0 - 4
SSC
35%
28%
38%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BAR
4 - 0
LUG
72%
20%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |