Segunda B Playoffs Final
Global 4-1
Ponferradina vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
PON
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
COR
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
PON
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
UDL
40%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |