Ponferradina vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
PON
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
SAB
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BET
1 - 1
PON
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
SPO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 1
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BET
2 - 1
GIR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GIR
0 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 1
GIR
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 1
GIR
6%
16%
79%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |