Ponferradina vs Gimnástica Segoviana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
PON
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDG
2 - 1
PON
23%
29%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
RMA
5 - 1
PON
95%
4%
1%
|
64 | 96 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
ACF
72%
18%
9%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
RMA
6%
15%
79%
|
64 | 96 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEG
2 - 3
SLA
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SEG
0 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
SEG
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SEG
2 - 1
UDL
23%
27%
50%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 2
SEG
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |