Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Ponferradina vs Gimnástica Medinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
CDG
0 - 3
PON
20%
27%
53%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
PON
1 - 1
LEO
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ACF
0 - 0
PON
24%
28%
48%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 1
PON
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
PON
3 - 1
CAB
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Medinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
MED
3 - 1
BÉJ
59%
24%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
CDU
1 - 2
MED
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MED
1 - 0
SAL
34%
30%
36%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
MED
2 - 0
AST
28%
28%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
TOR
3 - 1
MED
37%
27%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |