Ponferradina vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LAN
2 - 1
PON
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PON
1 - 1
ULP
38%
27%
34%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CUL
0 - 2
PON
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
PON
2 - 2
ZAM
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PPJ
3 - 1
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 3
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
COR
0 - 3
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALC
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
AVI
3 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDO
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |