Ponferradina vs Ciudad de Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 4
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
CUL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 4
PON
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 0
PON
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 1
CDG
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 1
CSA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CSA
1 - 0
SES
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 0
CSA
52%
26%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 2
ZAM
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |