Ponferradina vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
PON
1 - 0
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
PON
2 - 0
AVI
57%
26%
17%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
UPL
2 - 1
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
PON
1 - 1
SLA
31%
30%
39%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
CDO
1 - 1
PON
63%
23%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOM
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
SPB
5 - 1
CEL
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 4
AVI
39%
29%
32%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
SSR
1 - 1
CEL
47%
27%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PON
3 - 0
CEL
50%
27%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |