Ponferradina vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
51.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 0
PON
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
PON
1 - 1
CDM
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
DEP
0 - 6
PON
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
PON
1 - 2
LUG
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SSR
2 - 1
PON
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
CDT
2 - 1
CDO
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
AVI
0 - 1
CDT
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CDT
1 - 0
SIE
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPB
1 - 1
CDT
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |