Ponferradina vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PON
2 - 0
VAL
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CFP
0 - 1
PON
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PON
2 - 1
PEÑ
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UBC
1 - 1
PON
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
BUR
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
CUL
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CFP
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |