Ponferradina vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RMC
1 - 1
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
PON
2 - 0
BOU
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
RCF
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SSR
2 - 0
PON
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 1
PON
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ATB
0 - 0
MLL
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SDF
0 - 2
ATB
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ATB
0 - 1
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
GET
1 - 3
ATB
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 1
ATB
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |