Ponferradina vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
UPL
2 - 2
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
PON
4 - 2
CDU
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
PON
2 - 1
PON
36%
31%
33%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
CDO
2 - 1
PON
66%
23%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
CAU
0 - 1
AVI
39%
31%
30%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
LEM
2 - 1
CAU
69%
21%
10%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
CAU
1 - 0
CUL
35%
29%
36%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
ARO
1 - 1
CAU
49%
27%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1987 |
CAU
0 - 0
GIM
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |