Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Ponferradina vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
BÉJ
2 - 0
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
AST
2 - 1
PON
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
PON
0 - 0
BAÑ
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BEN
2 - 6
PON
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
PON
3 - 0
SAL
80%
13%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CDE
1 - 1
AST
32%
28%
40%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
AST
2 - 1
PON
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AST
0 - 1
CAB
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
VAL
1 - 0
AST
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
AST
1 - 0
MED
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |