Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
EIB
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PON
3 - 1
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
PON
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 2
CFP
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MIR
0 - 1
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 0
SES
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 0
OSA
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |