Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
OSA
1 - 1
PON
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PON
0 - 0
HUE
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LOG
1 - 1
PON
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PON
4 - 0
CDG
71%
18%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LEM
1 - 0
PON
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 2
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CFP
1 - 0
ATH
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
UBC
0 - 0
ATH
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 0
BUR
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |