Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1989 |
ROB
2 - 0
PON
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
UPL
0 - 0
PON
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
CDO
3 - 0
PON
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
PON
2 - 0
PON
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1989 |
ATH
4 - 1
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATH
18%
28%
54%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ATH
2 - 0
ASP
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
LAL
1 - 2
ATH
21%
29%
51%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
ATH
5 - 0
ARE
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |