Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-7
Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
PON
5 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1970 |
PON
1 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
30%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
LAU
3 - 1
PON
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
LEV
2 - 0
PON
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATH
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDO
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
RAY
3 - 0
ATH
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 1
CCF
23%
27%
49%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |