Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 11-2
Ponferradina vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ROB
2 - 1
PON
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
PON
1 - 0
CAM
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
ACF
2 - 3
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
COM
1 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
VAL
0 - 1
ACF
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ACF
1 - 1
LER
54%
25%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
ACF
2 - 3
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ACF
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDW
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |