Ponferradina vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TUD
2 - 2
PON
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SEG
2 - 0
PON
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PON
1 - 0
ZAM
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
SPO
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
GIM
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
SDA
0 - 1
MIR
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SDA
1 - 0
SLA
13%
24%
63%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 1
SDA
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MNC
0 - 1
SDA
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SDA
3 - 0
MNC
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |