Ponferradina vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MIR
4 - 0
PON
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PON
3 - 2
CUL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LOG
0 - 0
PON
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PON
3 - 2
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 0
RAY
21%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
FUE
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ART
0 - 1
ALC
29%
28%
42%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |