Ponferradina vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PON
2 - 0
UDC
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
PON
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 1
PON
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PON
0 - 0
CUL
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
BUR
34%
31%
35%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MAJ
1 - 1
ALC
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
RMC
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SSR
0 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |