Ponferradina vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 3
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PON
1 - 1
CDO
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PON
0 - 1
LAN
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ULP
2 - 0
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
RIB
0 - 3
ALC
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
AVI
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CDO
2 - 0
ALC
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |