Ponferradina vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1992 |
PON
2 - 0
CFP
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
AVI
2 - 2
PON
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
CFP
1 - 2
PON
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
LEG
2 - 1
PON
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
PON
3 - 1
CAB
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1992 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
ALC
0 - 2
LEG
28%
34%
39%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALC
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
ATB
4 - 1
ALC
76%
16%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |