Ponferradina vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
COR
1 - 3
PON
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
45%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 3
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PON
1 - 1
CDO
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIB
1 - 4
ALC
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
AVI
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CDO
0 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |