Pomezia vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
18º
16º
54
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
74% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pomezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POM
1 - 2
RMS
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 0
POM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POM
2 - 2
LRO
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
2 - 5
POM
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
POM
3 - 2
SSC
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LRO
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RMS
2 - 2
ARZ
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SSC
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 1
ARZ
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CSO
63%
19%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |