Pombal vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 0
POM
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
POM
4 - 0
TOU
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
POM
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POM
3 - 2
SOU
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POM
4 - 1
MOR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 5
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |