Pombal vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 1
POM
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
POM
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POM
1 - 0
OSL
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
ADN
72%
18%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAV
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
FAF
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 1
PAM
71%
18%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
NAV
23%
24%
52%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |