Pombal vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
12º
9º
3
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 52 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 38 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 31 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
44.5% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
1 - 1
POM
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
POM
1 - 2
SAB
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
POM
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
POM
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
POM
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
OEL
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
COI
17%
25%
58%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAB
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |