Pombal vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
10º
20
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 59 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 34 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
1 - 1
POM
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
POM
1 - 2
SAB
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
POM
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
POM
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
POM
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
OEL
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
COI
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAB
42%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |