Pombal vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
POM
58%
22%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
6 - 0
POM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POM
2 - 2
PAM
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
POM
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POM
0 - 3
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
SOU
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
VIT
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |