Pombal vs Marialvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+383%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
10º
20
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 59 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 34 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
POM
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
POM
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 3
POM
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
POM
2 - 0
MOR
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
1 - 1
POM
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TON
5%
11%
84%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAB
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OEL
2 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAT
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +5 |