Pombal vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
12º
10º
17
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
POM
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
POM
1 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
POM
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
POM
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 3
POM
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LEX
2 - 1
ALC
82%
13%
4%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 1
CFB
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
ALC
69%
17%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |