CD Lugo B vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALO
0 - 1
POL
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
ARE
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
POL
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
POL
2 - 1
ALO
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ARE
1 - 0
POL
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
SOM
59%
23%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SOM
2 - 1
ALO
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARE
5 - 0
SOM
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SOM
0 - 1
ARO
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |