Põlva Lootos vs Paide Kumake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Põlva Lootos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POL
0 - 9
FLO
4%
9%
87%
|
17 | 77 | 60 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NOM
4 - 4
POL
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POL
6 - 1
JAR
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
FLO
4 - 1
POL
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 76 | 59 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
OTE
1 - 1
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Paide Kumake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PAK
4 - 1
FCE
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 3
PAK
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
PAK
2 - 3
TAR
74%
15%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PAK
0 - 0
TUL
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAK
4 - 1
LUU
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |