Polotsk vs Niva Dolbizno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
5.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
79%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
TAM
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 0
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
DYO
23%
19%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NIT
6 - 1
POL
29%
19%
52%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POL
0 - 8
SEN
46%
20%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Niva Dolbizno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCN
7 - 1
TZH
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCN
39%
23%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 3
FBG
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 2
FCN
10%
16%
75%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |