Polonia Warszawa vs Znicz Biała Piska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LTM
1 - 2
POL
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
POL
3 - 0
WAS
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
POL
22%
23%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POL
4 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RAD
0 - 4
POL
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
ZBP
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZBP
5 - 1
WAS
90%
8%
3%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
ZBP
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZBP
3 - 1
UWA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
KSL
1 - 2
ZBP
63%
19%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |