Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ZAL
5 - 0
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GDA
2 - 1
POL
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
MOT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ODR
1 - 1
POL
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LOM
1 - 3
POL
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 0
MGJ
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
PLO
3 - 1
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 1
PGL
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
TUR
0 - 0
WAR
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 0
ARK
18%
27%
54%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |