Europa League 1/64
Global 0-3
Polonia Warszawa vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
WIS
4 - 0
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
POL
1 - 0
PLO
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 1
POL
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
RCH
0 - 3
POL
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
POL
3 - 1
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
UDI
4 - 2
SIG
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
SIG
2 - 2
UDI
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 0
AUS
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 1
UDI
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 2
AAB
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |