Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 5-1
Polonia Warszawa vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
POL
0 - 0
LPO
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WLO
3 - 2
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
1 - 3
POL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
POL
3 - 1
PLO
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
AMI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PIE
2 - 2
SLI
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
SLI
1 - 3
POL
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 0
SLI
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2002 |
BIR
0 - 0
SLI
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SLI
3 - 2
FLO
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |